Servias Ministries Blog

I am adjusting my 2nd potential smackdown gold price to the $1,100 to $12,50 range, $18 to $21 for silver.  Clearly, these are paper market spot prices.

My assumption is this.  The markets are managed by the collusion of central banks.  The global economy is slowing.  The drop in precious metals coincided with the announcement that growth in China had slowed down. In Cyprus we see that insured deposits are being used for planned bank resolutions. The Bank of England and Fed recently published an overview of how this would happen.  Investors, uninsured depositors and creditors are the ones at risk.

Uninsured depositors and creditors in the fixed income markets (including your large pension funds) are worried.  If they become too worried, where would the logical place to direct their funds be?  Physical precious metals. From the central planner perspective, the last thing you want to happen is for the price of gold to skyrocket while your are attempting to keep people’s money  in the banks. They don’t want gold to replace bonds as a the safe haven.  If that did happen, the bond market would disintegrate.

So the question becomes: “How do you dissuade people from moving their deposits into gold?”   Make gold look riskier and more dangerous than an FDIC-insured deposit. You do a takedown on the price of gold.  The central planners want to keep the trillion dollar bond market going where nobody is earning any money.  They must use fear of loss as their primary tools to keep the current system in place.  They need to make the bond market and stock market look more stable than the alternative thus they need to make gold look too volatile for the average person to move their wealth from the bank to the precious metals.  They must attack the price of gold and silver and promote fear in those investments at the same time they are promoting safety in fiat currency-based investments.

This is a game of epic proportion.  The central planners will use every tool in their bag of tricks in an attempt to keep the current system afloat.  Their ship is taking on water that cannot be successfully pumped out.  The endgame is at hand.

Central planners have used fiat currency to transfer wealth for their use.  Their endgame is to convert their wealth to sound money and leave the masses holding the bag (containing worthless paper).  By smashing the price of gold down, they want to convince the precious metal holders to sell their positions.  Remember, for every seller there is a buyer.  Using the whipsaw technique in the markets helps the big players free up the underlying asset from the small, fearful trader.

If I am wrong then the price of gold will not move under $1,400 again.  If I am correct in my assumption, another one or two great buying opportunities is ahead for gold, silver, and related stocks.  Only Our Heavenly Father knows for sure.

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As Central Banks continue to buy equities and prop up the market, the hole they are digging continues to deepen.  This is a strong indication of desperation among the money printers of the world.  They are buying stocks with money they printed out of thin air.  This will only temporarily inflate the various stock exchanges and it will end badly.  What this tells us is that the Dow Jones Industrial Average does not reflect true demand for stocks and misleads the average investor on the health of the market.  The investor responds by putting hard earned money in a market that could collapse at any time and cause his life savings to evaporate.

The Cyprus Solution has now been implemented, and they have been hosed.  “The Bank of Cyprus, the island’s largest bank said it has converted 37.5% of deposits exceeding 100,000 Euros into a Class A share, with an additional 22.5% held as a buffer for possible conversion in the future.  The flushing of Cyprus was done to steal massive funds from depositors.  The major percentage of their funds taken were replaced by worthless stock in a bankrupt bank.  Another 30% will be temporarily frozen and held as a deposit. So the amount of money that has been taken from the Cyprus depositors is in all practicality almost their entire accounts. Major depositors funds have now been taken in grand style. ”

What does this mean to you and me?  Depositors have been converted to unsecured “lenders” to the bank.  You may say “I don’t have $100K in a bank.”  If you are part of a pension plan, IRA, or 401K with a broker, you may be at risk.  Why?  They make keep large deposits with a major bank at risk.  The system is so interconnected now that you have no idea of the impact of a “bail-in” to your retirement account.  This exposure is also true for major public corporations’ operating cash whose stock is traded on the NYSE.  The systemic risk is substantial.

Elsewhere in central bank intervention, the paper volumes in the gold paper market do not reflect what is happening in the physical market.  Demand for physical is probably 60% greater than supply.  The offset is an increase in premium over spot price.

What does this suggest?  $3,000 gold and $100 silver is now within view.  As we buy our few ounces each month, we should understand thousands and thousands of others across the globe are doing the same thing.  This will help keep the price firm and support a move upward.  China and Russia continue to be buyers and we may find that April will be an extremely active month for those Sovereigns.

I believe that the central planners are losing the war even though they seem to be winning some of the battles.  Gold & silver stocks have a very favorable leverage position as the price of the underlying metal improves.

The silver market is extremely tight.  The $7 premium when silver is $23 makes up for the paper market.  That would indicate the physical market is moving away from the paper market pricing.  As that continues, the paper market is at risk of being nonfunctional.

People from Cyprus, Iceland, Argentina, and Japan would have had much safer portfolios if they had adequate exposure to the precious metals.  The risk to us all is this:  one extreme is hyperinflation, the other extreme is financial collapse.  Keeping the economy away from those extremes is getting increasingly difficult for the central banks’ manipulative efforts.

Think about it.

I continue to marvel at what men will think up next to support the lawlessness of the global financiers.  It is apparent that most of these people do not know what “hard-earned” money really is.  Men who never truly worked for a paycheck have little understanding the pain they are about to on the masses.  The global economy is moving close to the edge of a hyperinflationary depression:  Prices go up exponentially (in terms of fiat currency) while output and demand decrease dramatically.

In 1989 (not that long ago), Yugoslavia went through a period of hyperinflation.  The following bank note provides us a reminder of what can happen to fiat money:

Peak inflation rate hit 313 billion percent.  Those who held physical assets retained value versus those with paper assets.

At the same time the global economy is eroding, the “technology” revolution has led us to believe our lives are better when in fact those “efficiencies” simply eliminated jobs at an overall cost to society.

James H. Kunstler recently wrote:

We’ve Become a Society of Self-Deluded Children

The most obvious example is what happened to the telephone over the past thirty years. We computerized every phone system in America to “improve communications.”  The net effect is that after all that time and expense (billions of capital investment), it is now nearly impossible to get a live human being on the phone, whether you are calling a Fortune 500 corporation, a non-profit charity, or your best friend. Has that improved communication? What you get instead are robots that waste big chunks of your time forcing you to listen to complex call-routing menus – often ending in futility.

Companies and institutions assume that they benefit from the “efficiency” of not having to pay gangs of human receptionists. But they only succeed in annoying their customers and clients, who are treated as pests to be avoided. In effect, phone systems became firewalls, not communication enhancers.

Add to that the more recent phenomenon of cell phones and smart phones, which, for all their charms, 1) don’t work in all locations, 2) drop calls frequently, 3) have lousy sound quality, 4) feature time delays that make people talk over each other constantly, 5) erode real-time social relations with distracting apps and web features, and 6) possibly harm people’s brains by constantly rinsing them in microwaves.

The lack of wisdom among men is reaching a crescendo.  Complexity has masqueraded as progress whereas instead we should be moving toward simplicity.  There will be a price to pay for the road taken.  Judgment will come to rebalance the books.  Disequilibrium will not be tolerated indefinitely.  In the meantime, enslavement will continue under Mystery Babylon’s rule.  We will continue to see failure and unworkable solutions so that when the true solution arrives, we will know it.

How long will the innocent pay for the guilty?  Until Our Heavenly Father’s Kingdom encompasses the globe.

The paper market for gold & silver continues to unravel as individuals around the world are buying up the physical metal at the lower prices.  However premiums have risen, especially for silver.  I spoke to one dealer who has a $7 premium over the silver spot price which makes your cost right at $30 for an ounce of silver versus $23 on the paper market.

There have been widespread reports of people attempting to get their “allocated” gold but have been unable to acquire it.  Allocated gold is held in a vault specifically with your name on it.  The contract indicates that there is no accessibility to it by anyone else.  It appears that this is not the case.  The gold depository may have hypothecated the gold (pledge without delivery or title of possession) and generated revenue for its own account.  Once gold gets pledged, it can be hypothecated 100 times over, almost like fractional banking.  To unravel all of this mess, participants may have to go into the market and buy back gold at a higher price.  Others will settle for cash.  Either way, owners of the gold will not be happy campers.  Litigation will result.  This will expose the lies and deception behind the paper market.  To rectify the situation, I ultimately expect the price of gold and silver to climb rather dramatically.  If and when it happens, we will look back at this period and marvel at the attempts of the central planners to extract wealth from the masses.

500 tons and 53,000 contracts were sold into the gold market to force the price down in record time.  This orchestrated attack on the price of gold (and silver) appears to be the focused attempt to remove the canary in the coal mine.  Once again, it appears that they have failed just like everyone else who has made similar attempts over the last 5,000 years.

Will they try a second time?  I expect so.  Should we expect a double witness?  A triple witness?  Who has the greatest determination?  The Kings of the East are known for their patience.  Could we see $1260 gold and $19 silver?  Only with a notable premium if you take possession.  In the end, the true value will prevail and the fiat currency will suffer.  Volatility will continue until the new equilibrium is attained.  If you own gold or silver, your emotions will be tested, possibly to the extreme until the new equilibrium is established.

“A condition in which an official can safely and believably deny knowledge of any particular truth that may exist because the official is deliberately made unaware of said truth so as to benefit or shield the official from any responsibility associated through the knowledge of such truth.”

How many leaders hide behind “plausible deniability”?  Probably most of them.  This legal maneuvering is one of the many tools used today in the current system to manipulate, mislead, and promote an agenda of self preservation and power.

We have all been a participant in lies, whether active or passive.  The question is are you moving toward truth and light or are you further digressing toward death and destruction?

John 8:31   Then Jesus said to those Jews who believed Him, “If you abide in My word, you are My disciples indeed. 32 And you shall know the truth, and the truth shall make you free.”

Within truth is freedom whereas within lies are bondage and slavery.  Do you want to be set free?  Quit lying about your situation.  Shed the illusions that have taken up so much energy to maintain.  The Kingdom of Truth is coming (aka Kingdom of Heaven).  If you have been on a path that supports illusion rather than reality, stop!  Repent and turn away from the lies.  Then, do nothing.  Seek Our Heavenly Father and do nothing until HE speaks.   The light of the Word will expose any lies that have been hiding in the recesses of your soul.  Let the fire cleanse you and set you free.  Once this happens, stability of the truth comes.  You will become a reliable and credible witness for Our Heavenly Father to use.  You will be entrusted with Divine Instruction to spread forth the True Doctrine from Above.  Others will look to you for stability.  Their lies will then convict them and truth will spread abroad into their hearts.

Jesus called did not hold back in exposing what was in the hearts of men:

John 8:37   “I know that you are Abraham’s descendants, but you seek to kill Me, because My word has no place in you. 38   I speak what I have seen with My Father, and you do what you have seen with your father.”

39   They answered and said to Him, “Abraham is our father.”

Jesus said to them, “If you were Abraham’s children, you would do the works of Abraham. 40   But now you seek to kill Me, a Man who has told you the truth which I heard from God. Abraham did not do this. 41  You do the deeds of your father.”

Then they said to Him, “We were not born of fornication; we have one Father—God.”

42   Jesus said to them, “If God were your Father, you would love Me, for I proceeded forth and came from God; nor have I come of Myself, but He sent Me.43  Why do you not understand My speech? Because you are not able to listen to My word. 44  You are of your father the devil, and the desires of your father you want to do. He was a murderer from the beginning, and does not stand in the truth, because there is no truth in him. When he speaks a lie, he speaks from his own resources,for he is a liar and the father of it. 45  But because I tell the truth, you do not believe Me. 46  Which of you convicts Me of sin? And if I tell the truth, why do you not believe Me? 47  He who is of God hears God’s words; therefore you do not hear, because you are not of God.”

Plausible deniability has at its source the father of lies.  This should tell you what is the ultimate outcome of those who hide behind the “letter of the law”.  Follow truth in Love and all will turn out well for you.

I have now heard three reports where people tried to get their gold from their depository and were denied.  The futures (paper) market was supposed to have been based on actual physical supply, similar to the grain market.  It now appears that there is no physical gold to back the paper market.  Instead, the depositories will only settle in cash, not the metal they were supposedly holding as fiduciaries for future delivery.

Bullion bank defaults may be on the horizon.  Large investors as well as sovereign money are taking delivery of physical gold.  25 tons per day are leaving London right now.  Over 1,000 tons have been recently acquired by the “Kings of the East”.  Unless gold or silver is in your control, you may not own the metal, just a contract to be settled in fiat currency.  The collapse of the paper market may soon be upon us and the manipulation and lies will be exposed for all to see.  What do you think will happen to the price of gold and silver?

The Cyprus event where the central planners attempted to confiscate personal wealth has gone viral, thanks to the Internet.  The result?  The public is now becoming aware that there is only one way to protect your wealth- remove it from harm’s way.

The current system has been based on the fact that depositor money was safe from confiscation of any type (except the taxing authority who had a lien in place).  Once the central planner put confiscation on the table, they opened Pandora’s box.  Until then, they could manage the price of gold and silver and convince the public that these metals were ancient relics and were no longer viable as stores of wealth.   Wrong!

The following screenshot provides perspective of the demand for silver as of this morning:

It has been reported that there are 50 buyers to every 1 seller.  I would suggest the above provides some credibility to that statement.  Instead of scaring the public away from gold and silver, the central planners have done the opposite.  You should expect premiums over spot price to rise as it appears that the paper market is becoming quite fragile and may end up imploding.  The physical market will prevail and uncover the manipulation by the bullion banks.

What does everyone ultimately want?  The truth.

I have prepared for another takedown of the price of gold and silver, possibly to the $1,260 range for gold.  If that happens, I will be prepared to add to my position of my favorite gold and silver stocks, as little as it may be.  This may be the last time I will be able to buy at such a discount.  What will I do if gold does not drop?  Smile!

In about 45 minutes, you can get an idea of the drama concerning gold and silver.

The following provides an independent view of the recent history of gold, the manipulation of the price of silver, and the leasing of gold:

From John Williams’ Shadowstats.com:

Gold Strength Has Been Fundamental, Not Speculative,
and Unavoidable Fundamentals Promise Much Higher Gold Prices

March Year-to-Year Inflation: 1.5% (CPI-U), 1.3% (CPI-W), 9.1% (ShadowStats)

March Real Retail Sales Fell by 0.25%;
Annual Real Growth Signaled Intensifying Downturn

March Production Gain of 0.4% was 0.1% Loss,
Net of Unseasonable-Weather Boost to Utilities

March One-Unit Housing Starts Fell 4.8%, in Low-Level Stagnation,
Multiple-Unit (Apartment) Starts in Recovery

I recommend a subscription for those who want the detail.  He is the most credible source of government statistics that I know of.

I suspect there may be another attempt to slam the price of gold down to the $1,250 range.  If I were on the other side, that is exactly what I would do in an attempt to further frustrate the holders of gold and the related stocks.  As you can see from the above statistics, the economy is not improving thus there is no “fundamental” reason for the price of gold to decline.

I plan to be a buyer of precious metal stocks if that occurs and I have some cash to spare.  If it does occur, I want to personally thank the other side for providing these purchases at such discount.  I thoroughly enjoy a sale!

I agree.

See: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/comment/ambroseevans_pritchard/10001937/Fed-and-Bank-of-Japan-caused-gold-crash.html

They will do whatever they can to save their fiat currencies.