Underlying | Relative | Impact on | |
Fundamentals | Condition | USD | |
Trade Balance | Severe Deficit | Negative | |
Interest Rates | Extreme Low | Negative | |
Economic Growth | No Recovery / Low | Negative | * |
Inflation | High | Negative | * |
Political Stability | Low | Negative | ** |
Fiscal Condition | Worst of Developed World | Negative | |
* Not fully recognized in the markets | |||
** Euro area concerns temporarily taking global attention. |
John Williams’ shadowstats.com (paid subscription) tracks the raw economic data published by the U.S. Government. He then calculates indices based on historical formulas used by the U.S. Government. Over time, the government statisticians were required to change the formula to paint a better picture of the economy.
I agree with John’s assessment. We are heading for a cliff.
Central banks bought 500 Tons of Gold last year. 400 Tons are expected to be purchased this year. I wonder why?